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Red8
85770.1
68298.6
69103.6
Blue44
90866.1
47302.8
450926.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30390102050607080844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#10
8.62.3
12.510.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 17.8
26.40.9
21.122.0
Auto14.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Second
6910
#26
3.62.3
9.27.0
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 2.5
9086
#18
6.10.9
7.18.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Third
8577
#21
0.12.3
6.74.4
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
blue by 2.7
4730
#20
2.80.9
5.96.8
Auto2.1
Teleop0.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed