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Red27
418817.8
5651-0.0
510911.1
Blue44
529312.7
88655.7
168323.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293702060801002744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.0
11.311.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 5.6
23.40.8
19.620.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
Second
11.10.0
11.511.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 1.6
5293
#13
12.71.3
10.411.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Third
5651
#30
-0.00.0
4.24.2
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.4
End0.3
blue by 5.7
8865
#23
5.71.3
2.33.6
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed