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Red55
126134.5
44680.3
947712.8
Blue29
50744.5
95612.8
873614.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412301030506070805529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.1
22.123.2
Auto14.9
Teleop18.5
End1.1
red by 20.2
14.30.2
12.512.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
Second
9477
#17
12.80.7
9.29.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End0.9
red by 8.3
5074
#24
4.50.4
6.05.5
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Third
4468
#29
0.31.1
3.54.7
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
blue by 2.5
9561
#19
2.80.2
4.13.9
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned