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Red29
17955.8
753816.5
88655.7
Blue3
69103.6
5651-0.0
90866.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33190104050607080293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.1
15.115.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 10.5
9086
#18
6.11.8
8.06.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Second
1795
#16
5.80.1
9.49.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End0.7
red by 2.3
6910
#26
3.61.8
7.05.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.8
Third
8865
#23
5.70.1
3.63.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
red by 5.7
5651
#30
-0.01.8
4.22.4
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed