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Red15
95612.8
947712.8
85770.1
Blue68
126134.5
952211.4
10025.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174201030506070801568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9477
#17
12.80.2
9.99.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End0.9
blue by 21.8
34.52.6
23.225.8
Auto14.9
Teleop18.5
End1.1
Second
9561
#19
2.80.2
3.93.7
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 8.6
9522
#22
11.42.6
7.39.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Third
8577
#21
0.10.4
4.44.0
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
blue by 5.4
1002
#28
5.62.6
4.16.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed