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Red19
947712.8
74705.0
88655.7
Blue0
85770.1
81003.9
95612.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3325050100150190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9477
#17
12.80.7
10.19.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End0.9
red by 8.8
8100
#27
3.92.6
9.46.8
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End0.5
Second
8865
#23
5.71.1
9.18.0
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
red by 2.8
9561
#19
2.81.7
6.04.2
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Third
7470
#12
5.01.1
9.98.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
red by 4.9
8577
#21
0.12.6
8.15.5
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed