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Red40
873614.3
418817.8
241514.7
Blue27
952211.4
168323.4
56085.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433702060804027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.4
14.614.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
blue by 5.6
23.40.5
17.016.5
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
Second
2415
#11
14.70.4
10.39.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
red by 3.4
9522
#22
11.42.3
10.68.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Third
14.30.2
13.413.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
red by 8.5
5608
#25
5.80.5
8.27.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed