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Red0
50744.5
85770.1
74705.0
Blue38
68298.6
69103.6
418817.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1436020304050607080038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7470
#12
5.01.6
4.22.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 12.8
17.80.9
16.117.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Second
5074
#24
4.51.6
8.16.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
blue by 4.1
6829
#10
8.60.9
9.210.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Third
8577
#21
0.11.6
2.71.2
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
blue by 3.4
6910
#26
3.60.9
4.55.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed