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Red43
510911.1
174613.3
529312.7
Blue31
873614.3
88655.7
81003.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49260204060801004331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.30.2
16.115.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.3
blue by 1.0
14.30.3
14.014.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
Second
5293
#13
12.70.4
14.113.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.2
End0.5
red by 7.1
8865
#23
5.70.5
4.85.3
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
11.10.4
11.411.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.8
red by 7.2
8100
#27
3.90.5
7.68.1
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed