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Red78
168323.4
126134.5
88157.8
Blue51
450926.4
947712.8
241514.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66472040801001201407851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.2
27.029.2
Auto14.9
Teleop18.5
End1.1
red by 8.2
26.40.1
24.324.2
Auto14.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Second
23.41.4
23.524.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
red by 8.6
2415
#11
14.70.1
10.210.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Third
8815
#14
7.82.2
6.68.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End1.1
blue by 5.0
9477
#17
12.80.0
10.210.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed