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Red23
68298.6
529312.7
17955.8
Blue44
241514.7
85770.1
753816.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290204060802344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#13
12.71.5
14.613.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.2
End0.5
blue by 3.8
16.51.1
14.115.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Second
6829
#10
8.61.6
10.48.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 6.1
2415
#11
14.71.4
13.014.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Third
1795
#16
5.81.5
6.14.6
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End0.7
red by 5.7
8577
#21
0.11.4
-0.11.3
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed