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Red8
56085.8
81003.9
47302.8
Blue73
948012.2
88655.7
126134.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11570204080100873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5608
#25
5.80.9
7.26.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.7
blue by 28.7
34.52.0
32.634.7
Auto14.9
Teleop18.5
End1.1
Second
8100
#27
3.91.0
4.33.2
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End0.5
blue by 8.3
9480
#15
12.21.7
10.312.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
4730
#20
2.81.0
4.33.2
Auto2.1
Teleop0.2
End0.5
blue by 2.8
8865
#23
5.72.0
3.35.3
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed