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Red40
753816.5
88655.7
873614.3
Blue29
174613.3
241514.7
90866.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413820305060704029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.0
16.716.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 1.8
2415
#11
14.70.1
14.914.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Second
14.30.0
14.514.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
red by 1.0
13.30.1
13.413.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.3
Third
8865
#23
5.70.0
5.75.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 0.4
9086
#18
6.10.1
6.26.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7