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Red89
881710.7
42428.2
180742.2
Blue69
212238.1
456121.6
392828.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839140601001201408969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.8
37.037.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.2
End2.9
red by 4.1
2122
#14
38.10.9
37.336.4
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Second
424
#67
28.20.8
25.526.3
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End0.4
blue by 0.2
3928
#40
28.30.9
23.923.0
Auto11.0
Teleop14.5
End2.9
Third
8817
#73
10.70.8
14.014.8
Auto6.1
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 11.0
4561
#59
21.60.9
20.619.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsMissed