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Red79
192337.0
541430.8
282624.3
Blue81
129627.6
46134.6
263825.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9811060801201401607981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#13
37.00.7
34.734.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.8
End4.7
red by 2.4
461
#29
34.61.1
38.837.7
Auto11.4
Teleop21.1
End2.1
Second
5414
#44
30.80.7
32.331.6
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End0.6
red by 3.2
1296
#56
27.61.1
29.128.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
2826
#54
24.30.7
22.822.1
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
blue by 0.8
2638
#65
25.11.1
29.928.8
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned55%Ensemble oddsMissed