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Red97
332233.7
399029.5
86231.6
Blue58
946213.8
528520.6
412226.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107630501509758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#36
33.70.4
32.432.8
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End3.7
red by 7.2
4122
#45
26.60.3
27.427.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.3
End0.6
Second
862
#39
31.60.4
31.431.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
red by 11.0
5285
#52
20.60.3
20.820.5
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
Third
3990
#42
29.50.4
27.427.8
Auto7.3
Teleop19.7
End2.5
red by 15.7
9462
#72
13.80.3
13.713.5
Auto6.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed