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Red121
300554.9
456121.6
271428.1
Blue94
548431.4
346424.7
17640.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115103608012014012194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.9
52.553.4
Auto16.0
Teleop34.8
End4.2
red by 14.1
176
#21
40.80.0
40.840.7
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Second
2714
#48
28.10.9
27.027.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End1.8
blue by 3.3
5484
#50
31.40.0
29.829.7
Auto10.3
Teleop21.2
End-0.1
Third
4561
#59
21.60.9
23.023.9
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End0.5
blue by 3.1
3464
#69
24.70.0
24.024.0
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed