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Red98
24532.4
301818.4
205653.6
Blue80
490732.4
246840.1
776230.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512360801001401601809880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.5
53.853.3
Auto16.9
Teleop32.6
End4.2
red by 13.6
2468
#25
40.12.1
41.439.3
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End3.1
Second
245
#61
32.40.5
31.731.2
Auto10.5
Teleop19.6
End2.3
red by 0.1
4907
#27
32.42.1
35.733.5
Auto14.5
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Third
3018
#53
18.40.5
19.719.2
Auto9.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
blue by 12.5
7762
#63
30.92.1
33.131.0
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
82%Ensemble oddsEarned75%Ensemble oddsMissed