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Red90
102334.0
409618.7
128526.3
Blue48
582228.7
32424.5
881710.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88724060801001201409048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.5
34.334.7
Auto10.2
Teleop19.5
End4.3
red by 5.3
5822
#55
28.71.3
30.329.1
Auto11.0
Teleop15.5
End2.2
Second
1285
#24
26.30.5
25.425.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 1.7
324
#57
24.51.3
24.923.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End0.2
Third
4096
#71
18.70.5
18.418.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 8.1
8817
#73
10.71.3
11.710.4
Auto6.1
Teleop3.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed