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Red80
282624.3
115331.4
585128.8
Blue91
958612.4
97132.7
212238.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99904060801201408091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#30
31.40.9
33.432.5
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
blue by 6.7
2122
#14
38.10.1
39.139.0
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Second
5851
#58
28.80.9
30.329.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.5
End0.7
blue by 4.0
971
#10
32.70.1
32.532.4
Auto14.3
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Third
2826
#54
24.30.9
24.823.9
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
red by 11.9
9586
#66
12.40.1
11.111.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed54%Ensemble oddsEarned