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Red103
548431.4
399029.5
969222.8
Blue88
97132.7
282624.3
128526.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869220406010012014016010388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#50
31.41.6
29.731.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.2
End-0.1
blue by 1.4
971
#10
32.70.4
32.432.8
Auto14.3
Teleop15.4
End3.0
Second
3990
#42
29.51.6
27.829.5
Auto7.3
Teleop19.7
End2.5
red by 3.2
1285
#24
26.30.4
25.926.3
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Third
9692
#47
22.81.6
21.222.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
blue by 1.5
2826
#54
24.30.4
23.924.3
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed