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Red87
582228.7
42428.2
102334.0
Blue128
87636.5
490732.4
115331.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011705015020087128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.4
34.734.4
Auto10.2
Teleop19.5
End4.3
blue by 2.5
876
#23
36.51.2
37.436.2
Auto10.3
Teleop22.8
End3.4
Second
5822
#55
28.70.4
29.128.7
Auto11.0
Teleop15.5
End2.2
blue by 3.6
4907
#27
32.41.2
33.532.4
Auto14.5
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Third
424
#67
28.20.4
28.528.2
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End0.4
blue by 3.2
1153
#30
31.41.2
32.531.4
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsEarned