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Red105
465521.4
332233.7
192337.0
Blue65
456121.6
940835.2
414334.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991115015020010565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#13
37.01.0
37.438.3
Auto8.6
Teleop23.8
End4.7
red by 1.8
9408
#37
35.22.3
38.536.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2
Second
3322
#36
33.71.0
32.833.7
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End3.7
blue by 0.6
4143
#28
34.32.3
36.734.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Third
4655
#34
21.41.0
20.421.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
blue by 0.3
4561
#59
21.62.3
23.921.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed