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Red60
301818.4
212238.1
68068.6
Blue87
32424.5
511216.3
82935.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74830501001506087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#14
38.10.8
39.038.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End5.9
red by 2.7
829
#17
35.40.9
34.535.4
Auto12.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
3018
#53
18.40.8
19.218.4
Auto9.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
blue by 6.2
324
#57
24.50.9
23.724.5
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End0.2
Third
6806
#75
8.60.8
9.58.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 7.7
5112
#64
16.30.9
15.716.6
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
81%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed