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Red91
409618.7
173237.8
776230.9
Blue84
17734.8
958612.4
945014.1
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103582040801201401609184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#32
37.80.1
37.937.8
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End5.1
red by 3.0
177
#11
34.81.4
34.435.8
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.6
Second
7762
#63
30.90.1
31.030.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End3.1
red by 16.8
9450
#68
14.11.4
12.714.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Third
4096
#71
18.70.1
18.818.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 6.3
9586
#66
12.41.4
11.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed