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Red131
608135.4
755833.0
86837.3
Blue104
595141.2
67032.5
86231.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110119406080100140160131104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#19
37.32.0
35.337.4
Auto16.1
Teleop18.2
End3.0
blue by 3.9
41.20.2
41.941.8
Auto13.3
Teleop24.3
End3.6
Second
6081
#18
35.42.0
33.835.8
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
red by 2.9
670
#38
32.50.2
32.732.5
Auto7.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Third
7558
#33
33.02.0
31.733.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.9
End2.5
red by 1.4
862
#39
31.60.2
31.731.6
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned44%Ensemble oddsMissed