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Red121
34334.6
585128.8
97132.7
Blue101
456121.6
129627.6
600234.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10576204060120140160121101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#35
34.61.6
34.436.1
Auto11.0
Teleop18.1
End5.6
red by 0.2
6002
#20
34.51.6
24.626.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.3
End5.6
Second
971
#10
32.71.6
30.832.4
Auto14.3
Teleop15.4
End3.0
red by 5.1
1296
#56
27.61.6
28.029.5
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
5851
#58
28.81.6
26.227.8
Auto7.6
Teleop20.5
End0.7
red by 7.1
4561
#59
21.61.6
19.821.4
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned