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Red118
582228.7
414334.3
300554.9
Blue85
282624.3
67032.5
301818.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130685010015020011885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.0
48.448.5
Auto16.0
Teleop34.8
End4.2
red by 22.4
670
#38
32.51.1
29.430.5
Auto7.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Second
4143
#28
34.30.0
32.432.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End3.0
red by 10.1
2826
#54
24.31.1
22.123.2
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
Third
5822
#55
28.70.0
29.629.6
Auto11.0
Teleop15.5
End2.2
red by 10.3
3018
#53
18.41.3
17.118.4
Auto9.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed