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Red62
346424.7
173237.8
124126.9
Blue135
614735.7
595141.2
368343.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921185015020062135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#32
37.82.3
37.435.1
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End5.1
blue by 6.1
43.91.8
38.139.9
Auto13.6
Teleop26.7
End3.6
Second
1241
#41
26.92.3
22.920.6
Auto7.8
Teleop17.3
End1.8
blue by 14.3
41.21.8
37.339.1
Auto13.3
Teleop24.3
End3.6
Third
3464
#69
24.72.3
26.023.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 11.0
6147
#22
35.72.2
28.430.6
Auto11.2
Teleop16.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned