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Red76
511216.3
409618.7
940835.2
Blue86
46134.6
946213.8
399029.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7290204060801001201407686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#37
35.20.3
33.733.9
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2
red by 0.6
461
#29
34.60.4
37.738.1
Auto11.4
Teleop21.1
End2.1
Second
4096
#71
18.70.3
20.020.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 10.7
3990
#42
29.50.4
26.727.1
Auto7.3
Teleop19.7
End2.5
Third
5112
#64
16.30.3
13.513.8
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End0.4
red by 2.5
9462
#72
13.80.4
15.215.6
Auto6.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed