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Red79
412226.6
68068.6
490732.4
Blue90
128526.3
17640.8
541430.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68110501001507990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#27
32.40.5
35.936.4
Auto14.5
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 8.5
176
#21
40.80.3
40.740.4
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Second
4122
#45
26.60.5
20.420.9
Auto8.7
Teleop17.3
End0.6
blue by 4.3
5414
#44
30.80.3
31.631.3
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End0.6
Third
6806
#75
8.60.5
10.110.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 17.6
1285
#24
26.30.3
22.322.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed