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Red108
776230.9
465521.4
157739.3
Blue115
180742.2
86837.3
154033.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511550100150108115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#31
39.30.8
32.433.2
Auto12.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
blue by 2.9
42.21.0
37.838.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.2
End2.9
Second
7762
#63
30.90.8
30.831.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End3.1
blue by 6.4
868
#19
37.31.0
32.933.9
Auto16.1
Teleop18.2
End3.0
Third
4655
#34
21.40.8
17.118.0
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
blue by 12.5
1540
#43
33.91.0
29.730.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned