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Red112
67032.5
414334.3
511429.6
Blue64
248621.1
42428.2
456121.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087105015011264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#28
34.30.9
32.433.3
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End3.0
red by 6.2
424
#67
28.20.6
26.626.0
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End0.4
Second
670
#38
32.50.9
30.531.4
Auto7.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
red by 10.9
4561
#59
21.60.6
21.420.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Third
5114
#49
29.60.9
30.431.3
Auto13.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 8.6
2486
#46
21.10.6
20.720.1
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed