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Red107
528520.6
34334.6
17734.8
Blue80
582228.7
945014.1
192337.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958720406012014016018010780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#11
34.81.2
31.132.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.4
End3.6
blue by 2.2
1923
#13
37.00.0
36.236.3
Auto8.6
Teleop23.8
End4.7
Second
343
#35
34.61.2
36.137.3
Auto11.0
Teleop18.1
End5.6
red by 5.9
5822
#55
28.70.0
29.629.7
Auto11.0
Teleop15.5
End2.2
Third
5285
#52
20.61.2
17.518.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
red by 6.6
9450
#68
14.10.0
13.513.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned63%Ensemble oddsMissed