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Red105
271428.1
173237.8
600234.5
Blue114
124126.9
332233.7
167642.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9297050150105114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#32
37.81.4
35.136.5
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End5.1
blue by 4.5
42.31.3
35.336.6
Auto11.4
Teleop24.0
End7.0
Second
6002
#20
34.51.4
26.227.6
Auto11.6
Teleop17.3
End5.6
red by 0.7
3322
#36
33.71.3
31.532.8
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End3.7
Third
2714
#48
28.11.4
22.523.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End1.8
red by 1.1
1241
#41
26.91.3
20.621.9
Auto7.8
Teleop17.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned56%Ensemble oddsEarned