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Red50
947820.7
409618.7
301818.4
Blue97
360436.7
548431.4
940410.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61892040801001201401605097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9478
#74
20.70.9
19.718.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End2.6
blue by 16.0
3604
#12
36.71.0
34.135.1
Auto12.0
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Second
4096
#71
18.70.9
20.219.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 12.6
5484
#50
31.41.0
31.932.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.2
End-0.1
Third
3018
#53
18.41.0
18.417.4
Auto9.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
red by 7.6
9404
#60
10.81.0
11.512.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned40%Ensemble oddsMissed