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Red88
608135.4
357238.1
490732.4
Blue71
399029.5
585128.8
346424.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12681501001502008871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#15
38.11.4
32.431.1
Auto14.3
Teleop20.8
End3.0
red by 8.6
3990
#42
29.50.6
27.126.5
Auto7.3
Teleop19.7
End2.5
Second
6081
#18
35.41.4
39.638.3
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
red by 6.6
5851
#58
28.80.6
27.827.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Third
4907
#27
32.41.4
36.435.0
Auto14.5
Teleop13.0
End4.9
red by 7.6
3464
#69
24.70.6
23.723.0
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed