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Red150
212238.1
157739.3
17640.8
Blue110
940835.2
129627.6
614735.7
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410150150200150110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#21
40.82.7
40.443.1
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
red by 5.1
6147
#22
35.71.2
30.631.8
Auto11.2
Teleop16.1
End8.5
Second
1577
#31
39.32.7
33.235.9
Auto12.1
Teleop24.3
End2.9
red by 4.1
9408
#37
35.21.1
33.935.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2
Third
2122
#14
38.12.7
36.238.9
Auto11.9
Teleop20.3
End5.9
red by 10.5
1296
#56
27.61.1
29.530.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned51%Ensemble oddsEarned