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Red129
180742.2
346748.0
98745.0
Blue101
969222.8
332233.7
173237.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459150100200129101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.3
47.247.5
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End3.3
red by 10.1
1732
#32
37.80.4
36.536.9
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End5.1
Second
987
#5
45.00.3
39.139.3
Auto12.4
Teleop26.4
End6.1
red by 11.2
3322
#36
33.70.4
32.833.1
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End3.7
Third
42.20.3
38.839.0
Auto11.1
Teleop28.2
End2.9
red by 19.4
9692
#47
22.80.4
19.419.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned51%Ensemble oddsMissed