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Red86
124126.9
115331.4
301818.4
Blue64
263825.1
248621.1
409618.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797502040601001201401608664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#30
31.40.7
31.432.1
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
red by 6.3
2638
#65
25.10.3
29.228.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Second
1241
#41
26.90.7
21.922.6
Auto7.8
Teleop17.3
End1.8
red by 5.9
2486
#46
21.10.3
20.119.8
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End0.9
Third
3018
#53
18.40.7
17.418.1
Auto9.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
blue by 0.3
4096
#71
18.70.3
19.319.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed