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Red81
511429.6
53924.6
945014.1
Blue97
205653.6
399029.5
360436.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70139501001502008197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#49
29.60.3
31.331.6
Auto13.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
blue by 24.0
53.61.7
55.854.1
Auto16.9
Teleop32.6
End4.2
Second
539
#62
24.60.3
26.727.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End2.6
blue by 12.1
3604
#12
36.71.7
35.133.4
Auto12.0
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Third
9450
#68
14.10.3
13.513.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End1.9
blue by 15.4
3990
#42
29.51.7
26.524.8
Auto7.3
Teleop19.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned80%Ensemble oddsMissed