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Red129
541430.8
154033.9
346748.0
Blue87
246840.1
86231.6
456121.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127982040608014016018012987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.7
47.548.2
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End3.3
red by 7.9
2468
#25
40.10.3
44.444.0
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End3.1
Second
1540
#43
33.90.7
31.832.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.3
End3.6
red by 2.3
862
#39
31.60.3
26.726.4
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End2.9
Third
5414
#44
30.80.7
31.932.6
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End0.6
red by 9.2
4561
#59
21.60.3
20.820.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned