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Red90
368343.9
282624.3
392828.3
Blue60
68068.6
24532.4
54832.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97762040601201401609060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.0
40.640.6
Auto13.6
Teleop26.7
End3.6
red by 11.0
548
#16
32.90.7
26.525.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.0
End2.9
Second
3928
#40
28.30.0
22.322.2
Auto11.0
Teleop14.5
End2.9
blue by 4.1
245
#61
32.40.7
32.932.2
Auto10.5
Teleop19.6
End2.3
Third
2826
#54
24.30.0
22.622.6
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End1.8
red by 15.6
6806
#75
8.60.7
11.610.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed