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Red55
68068.6
263825.1
528520.6
Blue149
357238.1
511429.6
940835.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911520408010014016055149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#65
25.10.3
28.928.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End1.8
blue by 12.9
3572
#15
38.13.1
31.634.7
Auto14.3
Teleop20.8
End3.0
Second
5285
#52
20.60.3
20.119.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
blue by 14.6
9408
#37
35.23.1
34.537.6
Auto9.0
Teleop23.1
End3.2
Third
6806
#75
8.60.3
10.910.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 21.0
5114
#49
29.63.1
31.634.7
Auto13.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned