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Red86
26376.9
271428.1
608135.4
Blue117
301818.4
368343.9
102334.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410420406012014016018086117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#18
35.40.7
37.838.5
Auto13.3
Teleop18.1
End4.0
blue by 8.5
43.91.7
40.642.3
Auto13.6
Teleop26.7
End3.6
Second
2714
#48
28.10.7
24.625.3
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End1.8
blue by 5.9
34.01.7
31.533.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.5
End4.3
Third
2637
#70
6.90.7
8.28.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 11.4
3018
#53
18.41.7
18.119.8
Auto9.7
Teleop4.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsEarned