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Red99
392828.3
600234.5
128526.3
Blue72
53924.6
776230.9
541430.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811062040601201401609972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#20
34.51.2
28.930.1
Auto11.6
Teleop17.3
End5.6
red by 3.6
7762
#63
30.91.8
32.931.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End3.1
Second
3928
#40
28.31.2
22.223.5
Auto11.0
Teleop14.5
End2.9
blue by 2.5
5414
#44
30.81.8
32.630.8
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End0.6
Third
1285
#24
26.31.2
24.826.0
Auto8.5
Teleop14.3
End3.5
red by 1.7
539
#62
24.61.8
27.025.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsMissed