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Red103
17640.8
246840.1
931234.8
Blue80
86837.3
32424.5
585128.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140925010015020010380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#21
40.82.1
43.441.3
Auto14.2
Teleop24.7
End1.9
red by 3.6
868
#19
37.30.6
34.734.1
Auto16.1
Teleop18.2
End3.0
Second
2468
#25
40.12.1
44.041.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.0
End3.1
red by 11.3
5851
#58
28.80.6
27.426.8
Auto7.6
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Third
9312
#51
34.82.1
33.531.3
Auto10.4
Teleop22.6
End1.7
red by 10.3
324
#57
24.50.6
26.626.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed