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Red107
97132.7
360436.7
465521.4
Blue101
346424.7
511216.3
346748.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97927080100110120107101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#12
36.71.0
33.434.4
Auto12.0
Teleop22.1
End2.5
blue by 11.3
48.01.1
48.249.4
Auto12.0
Teleop32.7
End3.3
Second
971
#10
32.71.0
33.434.4
Auto14.3
Teleop15.4
End3.0
red by 8.0
3464
#69
24.71.1
22.723.8
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
4655
#34
21.41.0
20.121.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
red by 5.1
5112
#64
16.31.1
12.914.0
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed