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Red109
233729.0
205653.6
129627.6
Blue88
409618.7
67032.5
332233.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1258840608010014016018010988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.6
54.153.5
Auto16.9
Teleop32.6
End4.2
red by 19.9
3322
#36
33.70.1
33.133.1
Auto13.4
Teleop16.6
End3.7
Second
2337
#26
29.00.6
25.124.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 3.5
670
#38
32.50.1
31.631.6
Auto7.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Third
1296
#56
27.60.6
29.328.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End1.9
red by 8.9
4096
#71
18.70.1
19.019.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
70%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsMissed