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Red54
528520.6
26376.9
399029.5
Blue121
595141.2
541430.8
173237.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51129010015020054121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#42
29.50.4
26.426.0
Auto7.3
Teleop19.7
End2.5
blue by 11.8
41.20.6
39.740.2
Auto13.3
Teleop24.3
End3.6
Second
5285
#52
20.60.4
19.719.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
blue by 17.2
1732
#32
37.80.6
36.937.5
Auto12.8
Teleop19.9
End5.1
Third
2637
#70
6.90.4
8.98.5
Auto1.4
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 23.9
5414
#44
30.80.6
30.831.4
Auto8.9
Teleop21.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned